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Grouchy Golf Blog

Monday, July 18, 2005 at 10:23 AM

Tiger Woods Won, I Lost

As everyone and their moms expected, Tiger captured his 10th major championship at the grass-covered lunar landscape of the Old Course at St Andrews. I finally guessed the winner of a major correctly, even though it wasn't much of a stretch. But I'm only allowing myself to select Tiger to win a major once a year, and this was the one that I chose for 2005. As all veteran golf fans know, predicting the winner of a golf tournament is a little like predicting the next earthquake (here in CA). You can have all the expert knowledge and statistical data in the world at your disposal, but it usually doesn't mean squat. But in the case of this year's British Open, so many things pointed to Tiger's unchallenged victory that it seemed like a no-brainer to me: I was sold. I couldn't even think of anyone else who could upset Tiger. He was so favored that my bookie only had two bets available on who would win the British Open after Tiger held the 2nd round lead by 4 strokes - Tiger at 10-11 odds and anyone else at 14-5 odds. The "anyone else to win" bet is known in the betting world as a "sucker's bet." So, of course, I wired some cash to my bookie and took the 14-5 odds. At the time I thought, Tiger is heavily favored, but there are still 2 rounds to play. This is golf for crissakes, so anything can happen. 14-5 odds for the entire field to overtake Tiger's 36-hole lead seems like a good bet. You can just call me sucker.

Tiger is now well back on pace to eclipse Jack's previously-thought-to-be- untouchable 18 major championship record. To me, it's just a matter of time. As Tiger becomes more comfortable with his new swing, he may replicate his dominance of 2000. As long as he doesn't overhaul his swing for the 3rd time in his professional career, I think that Tiger will win at least one major per year, on average, over the next 10 years. We won't know for another 10 years whether I'm correct, but just like my British Open prediction, it's not much of a stretch.

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Blogger Storm Trooper said...

i love you  

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Blogger dave said...

Well I didn't pick Tiger, my person decided to have a very bad day on the last day; BUT I still enjoyed the entire open.  

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Blogger woundedduck said...

Wooods will probably revamp his swing every 4 or 5 years for the remainder of his career. More importantly, the PGA or whoever needs to start handicapping the pros. The Brit Open was a snoozer, but if Woods had been 5 over to start...  

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Anonymous mediaguru at hookedongolfblog.com said...

It's not a good idea to bet against Tiger...  

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Anonymous Anonymous said...

Great post. I think I would have taken the 14-5 odds that Woods would lose to the field. Shaky appearances in 05, despite the results.  

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Blogger pebbleby15 said...

Great site. Keep it up.  

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